Fantasy Baseball "I Will Never..."

So, yes, I play in a Fantasy Baseball League. It's fun, but I don;t go overboard with FBB and sign up for 5 different leagues because I need the "fix" of every different set of scoring rules. But still, I spend some time preparing for my draft (next week). And 1 thing I have learned in my experience is this... I will never draft over-the-hill, over-used, oft-injured, over-rated, and flat out over-exposed players. That being said, this season, here's my top 5 that I will never draft (in order of approximate/estimated/over-hyped value):

1. Miggy Tejada- over-hyped even for the thin SS position. Where did the power go? While he'd be a good value after Rd 3, 1st 3 rounds is high.
   
2. Bobby Abreu- over-hyped last year, over-the-hill this year. 2005 HR Derby haunts him.
   
3. Carlos Lee- Sure, he was my steal last year (AND netted me a blockbuster trade for K-Rod), but his numbers slipped in the 2nd half and he has no upside to earn his new $100 mil.
4. Ben Sheets- IS there even any "upside" at this point to a young pitcher who is hurt so much?
5. Dontrelle Willis- Just in case you are confused, for a pitcher, 1 good year out of 3 is not the same as a HOFer who hits .333.
   

R.I.P. Steve Rogers: 1941-2007

"Game Changing" or "Champion"?

Shanoff poses an interesting argument on his blog . Is Kevin Durant, the next David Robinson or the next Dirk? Problem is, even Robinson needed Duncan before the Spurs won a title, and Dirk could have used Nash last year to get over the hump in the Finals.

Point is, either "position defining" player comparison is, in itself, incomplete until a championship is produced. And with Durant we won't know that for at least, I say, 3 or 4 years... because that's how long it will take the Celtics (er, NBA draft lottery winner) to: a) Fire Doc Rivers (the coach), b) fire Danny Ainge (the president), c) re-build a team and d) succeed with Durant in the middle of the team's new system. I argue the biggest piece of that puzzle is not drafting Durant, but actually the drafting/trading/free agent signings around him.

Remember, great players are defined by championships- Shaq/Kobe/Wade, Duncan/Robinson, Bird, Jordan, Magic in hoops. Brady, Montana, Elway and (gasp) Manning in football. And all of those superstars had a teammate or 2 to take some of the burden/pressure off their shoulders. Quick run-down:

• Kobe had Shaq
• Shaq had D-Wade
  
• Robinson had Duncan
• Bird had McHale and Parrish
• Jordan had Pippen
• Magic had Kareem and Worthy
• Brady had Vinatieri (and Belichick)
• Montana had Craig and Rice and Taylor and Walsh and... (stop me at some point)
  
• Elway had TD
• Manning had Rhodes/Addai (and an inspired postseason defense that was invisible in the regular season)
  

Everyone agrees the "also-rans" were great players, game changers even. Guys like Barkley and Malone or Marino and Barry Sanders were fantastic HOFers who made their teams better. But I think it is unfair (maybe an injustice) to compare those players with the aforementioned champions.

Call it splitting hairs if you will, but I think that is a fine line that needs to be defined. No matter how great those non-champs were, and they were G-R-E-A-T, there is almost a societal class system that should be enforced between champs and also-rans.

Stats are nice (Marino, et al.). But it's all about the rings.

The jury should be out until then on Durant.